Archive for 2010

From Short Sales to Loan Sales

Monday, December 20th, 2010

It seems as though short sales are becoming common transactions throughout the residential side of the business. Prominent residential real estate companies in Chicago now tout themselves as Short Sale specialists. Not that there is anything wrong with this, but it goes to show how the residential industry has changed when it comes to getting deals done. While short sales seem to be a solution when one faces losing his equity or losing his home, the commercial real estate side of the business has many more options for a distressed property owner.

The #CRE Buying Window is Open, as Corner-Turning Evidence Mounts

Sunday, December 5th, 2010

Popular water cooler talk about our ailing commercial real estate marketplace may now be “so-2009″. Evidence continues to mount that we have turned the corner on several levels. Most know that job creation must recover to make up for lost time, but market-timing indicators are very favorable for users and investors of commercial real estate.  The window for good opportunity is wide open right now.

 

The Curious Case of Sherwin-Williams

Friday, December 3rd, 2010

The Curious Case of Sherwin-Williams

Sherwin-Williams stores have long been considered desirable real estate investments–and for good reason. The company has been around since the conclusion of the Civil War. Since then, it has grown to become one of the largest chemical, paint and coatings companies in the world. Besides its longevity, Sherwin-Williams’ debt is rated “A” (recently upgraded from “A-”) by Standard and Poors (S & P). As a real estate investment, Sherwin-Williams retail properties possess many attractive qualities. They are viewed as very stable assets and are generally available at attractive price points–many under $1 Million. Further, the stores are typically located in stable markets at strong locations.
          Despite these positives, Sherwin-Williams stores, as a real estate investment commodity, are somewhat difficult to quantify. If currently shopping for a Sherwin-Williams store to add as a last minute stocking stuffer, one might find offering capitalization rates in a range of anywhere from 6% to 10%. This wide range creates somewhat of a schizophrenic trading environment if trying to accurately value a Sherwin-Williams asset. It then becomes somewhat difficult for buyers and sellers to agree upon fair prices and capitalization rates for the investments.
          “The stores have a very high lease renewal rate,” said one investor, justifying the lower cap rates observed in the marketplace. “I’ve been told that Sherwin-Williams renews something like 97-98% of store leases,” he said. Another factor that seems to drive Sherwin-Williams cap rates lower is the overall scarcity of product. The company does not operate as many stores as many retailers so the universe of potentially available properties is somewhat smaller. Beyond this factor, relatively few of the stores in existence ever come to the market.
          While these factors might explain the low end of the cap rate spectrum, they do little to explain the higher end. After all, the lease renewal rates of the stores, very favorable S & P rating, and product scarcity should keep the cap rates of Sherwin-Williams stores down in the 6-8% range. But what explains those stores offered at 8%+?
          “I think the (cap rate) diversity can be explained by looking at the wide range of real estate choices found among Sherwin-Williams properties,” said another Sherwin-Williams investor. Indeed, this may explain much. It is estimated that approximately 2/3 of the business done in a typical Sherwin-Williams is from contractor sales. Consequently, some Sherwin-Williams stores may not be located at “Main and Main.” Since for many Sherwin-Williams is a destination, in some cases the company’s stores may thrive in convenient but not necessarily first tier locations. Some of these stores may be located in even what would be considered quasi-industrial locations, rather than trophy retail locations. Whereas retailers such as Walgreen’s, Wal-Mart, etc. have no room for error in their real estate decision-making, Sherwin-Williams may in fact be able to survive and thrive with some sub-standard locations due to their reliance on contractor and other non-impulse customers. Such locations, however, may end up being penalized in the net lease marketplace from investors unwilling to buy what they would consider to be inferior locations at low cap rates.
          Other factors that might balance out the favorable investor sentiment for Sherwin-Williams properties are the shorter-term and double-net nature of the company’s leases. Typically the base term on the company’s leases are 10 years and typically the landlord with have modest responsibilities with grounds maintenance, roof, and structural. These factors undoubtedly scare off some investors which might pay lower cap rates otherwise. It has undoubtedly kept many institutional investors away from the product.
          Although difficult to pigeon hole as an investment commodity, Sherwin-Williams stores still provide an excellent investment choice for the smaller commercial real estate investor. Many can be purchased at excellent costs per square foot and at reasonable capitalization rates. Although one must evaluate the real-estate specific characteristics of each offering carefully, the eventual Sherwin-Williams investor should be rewarded with a long-term, stable tenant for years to come.

Q3 Mean Cap Rate For Office Properties Declines By 90 Basis Points

Friday, December 3rd, 2010

During another Q3 briefing by Reis, Ryan Severino, CFA, illustrated how the in-quarter mean cap rate for offices has been extremely volatile over the last two years due to the still limited and selective transaction market. <Click here to read article>

Firm Looks at Implications of Mid-Term Elections on Commercial Real Estate

Wednesday, November 17th, 2010

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From Sperry Van Ness Accelerated Marketing | Atlanta, GA - Via CitzBizRealEstate Atlanta, commercial real estate services provider Cassidy Turley recently analyzed the election results, and opines that the chances for major changes are not very great, noting that “divided” governments of the past have seen growth in government spending and the size of government… And they feel that the nature of this “lame duck” government will not be positive for business. However, they do feel that almost 4 million office jobs will be created over the next 5 years.  And introduction to the report begins:

Factors Impacting Capitalization Rates

Wednesday, November 10th, 2010

I was recently asked to respond to the following question: What factors are taken into consideration when determining capitalization rates on triple-net investment deals?

To answer this question comprehensively, we’d need more time that it will take to analyze tonight’s election results. And what’s worse, we’d probably be just as boring. But let’s give it a whirl–in an abbreviated sense….

 

Actus Moves Forward with $600M Second Phase of Army Lodging Privatization Program

Tuesday, November 9th, 2010

The United States Army has given Actus Lend Lease the go-ahead to implement the $600 million second phase of a three-phase project involving the renovation and development of on-post hotels through the Privatization of Army Lodging program. Phase two of the behemoth undertaking encompasses an aggregate 5,000 rooms at 11 installations.

 

Have Commercial Real Estate Prices Bottomed Out?

Friday, November 5th, 2010

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From Sperry Van Ness Accelerated Marketing | Atlanta, GA - As we have been writing over the past 3 or 4 weeks, there are more and more signs and reports that commercial real estate prices may be at or very near to the bottom. Perhaps the election results will also have a positive effect on commercial real estate. The latest report comes from CoStar, offering:

Investment grade real estate continued its positive trend from August with a strong 5.48% increase in September, according to CoStar Group’s newly released Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices (CCRSI).

Social Media - Identifying the Opportunities!

Thursday, November 4th, 2010

Recently, I was asked to give a social media presentation to the Counselors of Real Estate of the National Association of Realtors at their national convention held in Philadelphia. The topic: Social Media - Identifying the Opportunities! This was to a group of very experienced real estate professionals who were questioning the benefits to them if they got involved. Attendees were highly complimentary, commenting on the program’s relevance and content.

Attached below is my outline which may be helpful to you on your decisions on how much time you should spend in social media and the rate of return for your time spent. Your only real cost is your time.  The presentation primarily focused on three social media venues – LinkedIn, Twitter and Facebook.

Distress Showing Every Sign of a Plateau via GlobeSt.com

Monday, November 1st, 2010

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From Sperry Van Ness Accelerated Marketing | Atlanta, GA - We are seeing more reports almost daily that we may be at least near equilibrium regarding distressed CRE. The latest report from GlobeSt.com offers:

Delta Associates will report later today that US distressed commercial real estate has hit a plateau. If that sounds familiar, it is–the research firm declared in its last quarterly report that signs were mounting that distress was peaking and heading into a long period of plateau. “We were right,” Delta CEO Greg Leisch tells GlobeSt.com.

For the rest of the story, click HERE.

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